How did the geeky March Madness stats hold up???????  Let’s take a look below.........

Here they are the geeky stats that are going to win you your March Madness office pool courtesy of the Manly Morning Show! All we ask is 10% of the winnings......Where have we heard that before??????


1st Round winning percentages by seed:


#1-100% (4/4 100%)
#2-95% (4/4 100%)
#3-88% (4/4 100%)
#4-81% (2-4 50%/ UConn and Vandy lost)
#5-66% (2-4 50% / Drake and Clemson lost)
#6-73% (3-4 75%/ USC lost)
#7-54% (3-4 75%/ Gonzaga lost)
#8-44% 2-4 50%/ BYU and Indiana lost/ Mississippi St. and UNLV won)


What it means:
-Pick all the #1’s in the first round....duh. (Worked)
-One 5-12 upset will happen and the #6 out performs the #5. (Worked 2 #12’s won and #5’s went 50/50 #6 went 75-25)
-The 7-10 is just about a toss up. Look for experience and guard play to be determining factors on who wins those games. (Wrong #7 won 3-4)
-The #9 out performs the #8, but don’t pick all the 9’s. (50/50)
-13 and 14 seeds win 16% of the time! (Right, two #13’s won, San Diego and Sienna)

2nd Round:
-#1 seeds advance to Sweet 16 86% of the time. Two #1’s lost in the 2nd round in 2004, but all have advanced since. (All #1’s advanced)
-#2 seeds win 72% of the time vs. #7’s but only 52% of the time vs. #10’s. More info on #10’s later! (50% advanced, #2 beat #7 in 2 of 3 match ups and lost to a #10)
-#6 seeds are 50/50 picks against #3’s since 1992. (The #3 was 3-0 vs. the #6----Lousiville, Xavier and Stanford all won)
-#4’s win 54% of the time vs. #5’s but 67% of the time vs. #12’s. What this means is, take your 5-12 upset in the first round, but stop the #12 here vs. a #4. (the 4-5 was 1-1---Washington St. beat Notre Dame, Michigan State beat Pitt. There was not a 4-12 match-up in the 2nd round. There were two 12-13 match-ups and the 12 won both--Villanova and Western Kentucky)
-Over the past 20 years, only one #14 seed and three #13’s have advanced to the sweet 16. Again, take your first round upset if you must, but don’t take Cinderella past the 2nd round. (Zero 13 or 14 seeds made the sweet 16, though two #12’s did)

Two other stats held up:

Power conferences: In the past 8 NCAA’s, one conference has placed two teams in the Final Four. In 6 of the last 7, one conference has placed 3 teams in the Elite 8. in 9 of the last 12, one conference has placed four teams in the Sweet 16. Moral is, find a power conference you like and roll with it. A power conference will emerge every year.

Here is the conference breakdown:
PAC-10 3: WSU, UCLA, STANFORD
BIG EAST 3:WEST VA, VILLANOVA, LOUUSVILLE,
BIG 10 2:  WISC, MSU
BIG 12 2: TEXAS, KANSAS,
CONF USA 1: MEMPHIS
SEC 1: TENNESSEE
ACC 1: NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHERN 1: DAVIDSON
SUN BELT 1: WESTERN KY.
SUN BELT 1: XAVIER


-#10 seeds get to the Sweet 16: 13 #10’s have made the Sweet 16 since 1997. 7,8 and 9 seeds have combined for just 11 during that same time frame.

#10 seed Davidson made the Sweet 16, though so did #7 West Virginia. No #8 or #9 seeds made it.

Seed breakdown:
4 1’S (KU, UNC, MEM, UCLA)
2 2’S (TENN, TEXAS)
4 3’S WISC, LOUSVILLE, STANFORD, XAVIER)
1 4 (WASH ST)
1 5 (MICHIGAN ST)
1 7 (WEST VA)
1 10 (DAVIDSON)
2 12’S (WEST KY, VILLANOVA)